Staid-Escape
0xbdc1be04ba06d2faa18db783f3a1b13d70cc2a9d
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.81
Total PnL
$-27.86
Realised
$0.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Dan Koe win the X $1M article prize?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
571 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Marty Supreme win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
424 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.67
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
200 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
188 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?
150 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$18.14Mar 1, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$1.00Feb 18, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marty Supreme win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.67Feb 17, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?$1.00Feb 16, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?$2.54Feb 16, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?$3.00Feb 16, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Feb 16, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$11.52Feb 16, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?$1.00Feb 16, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$1.00Feb 10, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$3.00Feb 10, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$3.45Feb 10, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$5.17Feb 9, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$2.40Feb 9, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?$2.40Feb 9, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?$3.50Feb 9, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$3.50Feb 9, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$13.78Feb 9, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$5.00Feb 8, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$2.00Feb 8, 10:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 13:14 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 03:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.