Grounded-Conviction
0xbdc326177263adb96923018b4b568533d1753bb7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the SPX opening price on January 5 be between 6,858.47 and 6,927.05?
6924 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.92
- YES
Will the SPX opening price on January 5 be between 6,789.89 and 6,858.47?
6169 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.17
- YES
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 3?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.02
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.08Jan 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?$5.20Jan 8, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?$5.35Jan 8, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?$4.61Jan 8, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?$4.93Jan 8, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?$9.54Jan 8, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?$10.05Jan 8, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?$10.21Jan 8, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?$10.15Jan 8, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?$10.48Jan 8, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?$4.98Jan 8, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?$4.98Jan 8, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$14.57Jan 8, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$14.59Jan 8, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?$9.93Jan 8, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?$9.93Jan 8, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$1.94Jan 8, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$2.06Jan 8, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?$1.71Jan 8, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?$8.08Jan 8, 17:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $8.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 12:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 9, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".