Thorny-Dining
0xbdcba610502fe0c52a09a1843d04fb175079a61b
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$124.56
Total PnL
$-181.04
Realised
$41.89
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
95 shares @ 30.6¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$47.89
$18.89
- CANADIENS
Sabres vs. Canadiens
33 shares @ 60.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$19.83
$-0.17
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.21
$-1.79
- OVER
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5
29 shares @ 28.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$7.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
263 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.63
$0.63
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.42
$0.42
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?
385 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?
238 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.88
$-0.12
- DANIIL MEDVEDEV
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.1¢·exp May 22, 2026$4.55
$-0.45
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?
185 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.54
$-0.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$5.29May 15, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$7.32May 15, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$7.31May 15, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$17.01May 15, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$7.25May 15, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$7.24May 15, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$5.22May 15, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$5.21May 15, 22:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$0.00May 15, 22:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$11.36May 15, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$7.44May 15, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$7.39May 15, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$7.37May 15, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$5.20May 15, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$2.74May 15, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$44.30May 15, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$12.29May 15, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$7.42May 15, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$7.27May 15, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$5.19May 15, 22:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $10.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 22:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 22:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".