Minty-Makeup
0xbdd444ab3dc32ac2976d366df2b1bd4aa7e4eaf5
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-51.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C or higher on July 13?
494 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$490.78
$1.94
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 13?
219 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$219.09
$2.81
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 13?
132 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$131.67
$0.73
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
100 shares @ 88.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$94.50
$6.50
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by July 31?
160 shares @ 83.5¢·now 47.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$75.20
$-58.40
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
10 shares @ 86.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.55
$0.86
- YES
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
72 shares @ 10.0¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.44
$-5.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 10?
10 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C or higher on July 13?$99.00Jul 13, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 13?$92.75Jul 13, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C or higher on July 13?$190.98Jul 13, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 13?$130.94Jul 13, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C or higher on July 13?$199.00Jul 13, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 13?$91.44Jul 13, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 13?$145.94Jul 13, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 13?$70.43Jul 13, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on July 12?$759.98Jul 12, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on July 12?$95.29Jul 12, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on July 12?$149.15Jul 12, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on July 12?$618.62Jul 12, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 11?$214.87Jul 11, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 11?$142.35Jul 11, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on July 12?$9.00Jul 11, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on July 12?$10.26Jul 11, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on July 12?$17.55Jul 11, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on July 12?$18.90Jul 11, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on July 12?$9.00Jul 11, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on July 10?$390.00Jul 10, 20:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $111.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 00:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 04:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.