Grouchy-Cotton
0xbdd73cbbe8e850e99246b4c6d3bb3b1d073c5f9e
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$67.26
Total PnL
$-863.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
7913 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$67.26
$-27.69
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
23200 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-92.80
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
22410 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-166.62
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
15106 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-99.88
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
10047 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-100.47
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
7192 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.69
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
3723 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-11.17
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
2500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
754 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-211.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$99.64May 24, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$100.47Dec 1, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$92.80Jun 9, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$100.69Jun 8, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$69.45May 2, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$20.00May 2, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$97.18Mar 19, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$11.17Mar 11, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$99.88Mar 8, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLGold missing from Fort Knox?$1.2KMar 8, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold missing from Fort Knox?$4.8KFeb 21, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$211.00Nov 15, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 325-349 times November 1-8?$13.55Nov 6, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win New York Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 6, 15:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.3KNov 6, 15:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during New York rally on October 27?$0.00Oct 28, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win New York Presidential Election?$14.76Oct 28, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$10.00Oct 28, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?$10.00Oct 28, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during New York rally on October 27?$10.00Oct 28, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $406.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 21:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 14:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".