Animated-Subsidence
0xbdd78961a3f38b7a61465f59fb7cf2fc7709b949
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$2.81
Total PnL
$-8.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will FC Twente '65 vs. AZ end in a draw?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.52
$0.52
- NO
Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Bangladesh vs. Afghanistan end in a draw?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Romania vs. San Marino end in a draw?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Brighton vs. Brentford end in a draw?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw?
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?$1.00Nov 30, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Twente '65 vs. AZ end in a draw?$1.00Nov 30, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?$1.00Nov 30, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill AFC Ajax vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?$1.19Nov 30, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?$1.19Nov 30, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Heracles Almelo vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?$1.30Nov 30, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Heracles Almelo vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?$1.00Nov 22, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sparta Rotterdam vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw?$5.00Nov 22, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Ajax vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?$1.00Nov 22, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton vs. Brentford end in a draw?$1.00Nov 22, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?$1.00Nov 22, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw?$0.13Nov 18, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania vs. San Marino end in a draw?$1.00Nov 18, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw?$1.00Nov 18, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill England vs. Serbia end in a draw?$1.18Nov 14, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moldova vs. Italy end in a draw?$1.53Nov 13, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Serbia end in a draw?$1.00Nov 13, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova vs. Italy end in a draw?$1.00Nov 13, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Azerbaijan vs. Iceland end in a draw?$1.28Nov 13, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway vs. Estonia end in a draw?$0.94Nov 13, 17:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 14:24 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 30, 16:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.