Threadbare-Facelift
0xbddfc6cd43c421dc15d804efcc3f9dc193e589f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$57.98
Total PnL
$-13.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
10 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$10.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
10 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$10.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
8 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$8.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Nebraska win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
8 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$8.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
6 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$6.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
5 shares @ 94.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$5.28
$0.28
- NO
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
5 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$5.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
5 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$5.11
$0.11
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
110 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$10.00Mar 23, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$10.00Mar 23, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nebraska win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$8.00Mar 23, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$8.00Mar 23, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$6.00Mar 23, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$5.00Mar 23, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$5.00Mar 23, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$5.00Mar 23, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?$40.36Mar 23, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?$40.00Jan 27, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Mavericks$6.00Jan 22, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$5.30Jan 22, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?$6.19Jan 22, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$7.12Jan 22, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$20.16Jan 22, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$20.18Jan 22, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$20.22Jan 22, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win on 2025-12-06?$15.38Dec 11, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$20.00Dec 6, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$20.00Dec 6, 14:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $104.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 14:23 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 15:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.