Menacing-Mincemeat
0xbe02d8a770fcafe6c6126011ac2f56baf073409a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-717.69
Realised
$9.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Germany win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
5827 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League?
2047 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$0.00
$-107.81
- YES
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
609 shares @ 28.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-171.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
400 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-108.50
- YES
Will Aave win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
245 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-19.62
- YES
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-12?
172 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-08?
133 shares @ 36.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-49.00
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?
100 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Espacio Cripto win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
100 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?
93 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-08?$0.60May 8, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-08?$2.58May 8, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$20.00May 6, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$12.50May 6, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$31.00May 6, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?$0.42Apr 28, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?$17.22Apr 28, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?$1.05Apr 28, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?$2.31Apr 28, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?$70.19Apr 16, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$45.00Apr 15, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?$30.00Apr 15, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wout Van Aert win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?$4.71Apr 12, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wout Van Aert win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?$60.16Apr 12, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wout Van Aert win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?$14.74Apr 12, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wout Van Aert win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?$8.96Apr 12, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wout Van Aert win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?$10.00Apr 12, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?$24.42Apr 12, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?$50.00Apr 12, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$46.00Mar 8, 22:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $24.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 18:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 19:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".