Diligent-Thermostat
0xbe07aeba46fff61e6f1252a6d40b60cc38322ae6
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$284.29
Total PnL
$-314.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- 100K
Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
284 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$284.29
$85.29
- NO
US military action against Iran before July?
165 shares @ 60.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
US military action against Iran by Sunday?
109 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?
108 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
US military action against Iran by Saturday?
104 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$925.09Nov 7, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$135.10Nov 7, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$217.74Nov 7, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a US ally get a nuke in 2025?$510.09Nov 7, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $185 August 25–31?$108.70Nov 2, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $225 August 25–31?$112.36Nov 2, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xi visit the US before September?$222.11Nov 2, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Nuke in 2025?$108.32Oct 11, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin more valuable than any company in 2025?$113.12Oct 11, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$208.99Oct 11, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$1.1KOct 11, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$100.00Aug 30, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$30.00Aug 30, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?$199.00Aug 30, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $185 August 25–31?$100.00Aug 30, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $225 August 25–31?$100.00Aug 30, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Philippines military clash by December 31?$198.12Aug 12, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China before September?$215.80Aug 8, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?$251.12Aug 8, 00:58 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military action against Iran in July?$55.56Aug 8, 00:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $228.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 02:04 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 7, 05:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.