Polite-Validity
0xbe0967bb7744c3f5394bb0bfa8e2e8340c35995e
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.06
Total PnL
$-19.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
1 shares @ 94.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
5563 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
5563 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
5340 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.7K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
5339 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.7K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2999 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
2564 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$1.00Jan 14, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$5.6KDec 30, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$6.0KDec 30, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$3.0KDec 30, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$3.0KDec 30, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$36.33Dec 30, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$98.00Dec 30, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$17.50Dec 30, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$50.00Dec 30, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$2.50Dec 30, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$3.00Dec 30, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$2.50Dec 30, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$10.00Dec 30, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$50.00Dec 30, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$2.50Dec 30, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$20.00Dec 30, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$2.20Dec 30, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$1.10Dec 30, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$2.50Dec 30, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$6.86Dec 30, 04:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $553.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 02:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 07:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".