Third-Sycamore
0xbe0aba46453d54b7b34f6442717af4596091c8b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
70
Open notional
$0.50
Total PnL
$-148.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?
15500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-23.99
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 6?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on January 2, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$1.00Apr 17, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?$1.00Apr 14, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?$1.00Apr 14, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?$1.00Mar 27, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by March 13?$1.00Mar 13, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?$1.00Mar 13, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "How to Make a Killing" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.00Mar 11, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$1.00Mar 4, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.40Mar 1, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.00Mar 1, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$1.00Feb 28, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$1.00Feb 28, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$2.00Feb 28, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Nets$3.40Feb 25, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Nets$1.87Feb 24, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Pistons$2.00Feb 23, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Grizzlies$2.00Feb 23, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?$7.00Jan 23, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?$10.00Jan 22, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?$5.00Jan 21, 15:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 17:08 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 23:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".