White-Spud
0xbe22357274a088fe9e1b1e5418185b16b34edd7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-78.58
Realised
$8.17
Win rate
69%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 24?
4200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 2?
1200 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-8.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 27?
800 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 24?
731 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.65
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 22?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on November 30?
395 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 27?
385 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on November 14?
350 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104,000 and $106,000 on November 14?
240 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 29?
201 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 27?$1.19May 27, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 27?$0.42May 27, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 27?$0.05May 27, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 27?$0.05May 27, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 27?$0.13May 27, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 27?$0.06May 27, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 27?$0.61May 27, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 27?$0.10May 26, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 27?$0.70May 26, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 27?$0.70May 26, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 27?$0.10May 26, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 27?$0.15May 26, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 27?$1.05May 26, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 27?$0.18May 26, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 27?$0.42May 26, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 24?$0.06May 24, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 24?$0.58May 24, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 24?$0.10May 24, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 24?$1.76May 24, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 24?$0.07May 23, 20:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
69% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 13:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 04:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.