Worried-Brunch
0xbe266ef8c46603fd74f0c83ec39a42edcb9980af
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$60.27
Total PnL
$-59.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NUGGETS
Clippers vs. Nuggets
60 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$60.27
$22.30
- YES
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
100 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-71.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYClippers vs. Nuggets$37.97Jan 31, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.00Dec 28, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$71.00Dec 28, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$119.98Dec 28, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$108.98Dec 9, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.00Dec 9, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown end November 16?$113.97Dec 9, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 16?$113.63Nov 12, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$108.70Nov 12, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$100.00Nov 10, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$104.76Nov 10, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$99.00Nov 3, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$98.00Oct 29, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$97.90Oct 29, 12:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $74.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 12:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 02:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.