Sociable-Synod
0xbe2940aa0a03db18b4b795fd91312b0cdaaf3c2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$31.56
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$31.56
$21.56
- YES
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on May 31?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model on May 31?
3333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?
2400 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?
2056 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1433 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy before July?
1126 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
744 shares @ 40.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?
683 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-140.00
- NO
Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?
431 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$37.14Jan 13, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?$63.93Jan 13, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?$65.31Jan 13, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$92.86Jan 13, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$33.80Aug 7, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?$39.00Aug 7, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?$5.00Aug 7, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2025 be the hottest year on record?$16.55Aug 7, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2025 be the hottest year on record?$18.00Aug 7, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?$32.00Aug 7, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$39.00Aug 7, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?$100.00Aug 7, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?$45.98Aug 7, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5 be released by July 31?$96.35Aug 7, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Yunakivka before July?$98.46Aug 7, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$100.00Jun 25, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$167.80Jun 25, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$51.20Jun 23, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces end of military operations against Iran before July?$81.00Jun 23, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$10.00Jun 23, 14:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $66.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 16:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 13, 13:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".