Timely-Larch
0xbe2c136f0e29579982fa0ac4370f01cabd6fb789
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.35
Total PnL
$-54.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
3 shares @ 47.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.35
$-0.87
- YES
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 137m?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
153 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NORMAN JR.
Brian Norman Jr. vs Devin Haney Nov 22, 2025
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO CHANGE
Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YARDE
David Benavidez vs Anthony Yarde Nov 22, 2025
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NOAKES
Abdullah Mason vs Sam Noakes Nov 22, 2025
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.22Jan 10, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?$1.75Dec 16, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?$1.00Nov 27, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?$5.00Nov 24, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?$1.00Nov 24, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 137m?$1.00Nov 24, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?$1.00Nov 24, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?$1.00Nov 24, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?$9.43Nov 24, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump praise Marjorie Taylor Greene by December 31?$0.00Nov 23, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbdullah Mason vs Sam Noakes Nov 22, 2025$5.00Nov 22, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$5.00Nov 22, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrian Norman Jr. vs Devin Haney Nov 22, 2025$10.00Nov 22, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?$5.00Nov 22, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Marjorie Taylor Greene by December 31?$5.00Nov 22, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrian Norman Jr. vs Devin Haney Nov 22, 2025$20.00Nov 22, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYDavid Benavidez vs Anthony Yarde Nov 22, 2025$5.00Nov 22, 19:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $4.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 19:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 10, 21:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".