Separate-Laugh
0xbe33272eb9df7b8f4e3002441a59b56839191be8
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$61.78
Total PnL
$-294.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
22 shares @ 98.3¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$21.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
18 shares @ 92.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$15.14
$-1.44
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
12 shares @ 92.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$11.96
$0.83
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$9.70
$0.04
- DRICUS DU PLESSIS
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)
4 shares @ 70.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$2.88
$-0.02
- BOGDAN GUSKOV
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.44
$-0.68
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will Emily O'Reilly win the Irish Presidential Election?
1480 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.48
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
1050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
233 shares @ 79.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-186.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.40Jul 15, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$1.15Jul 15, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)$2.94Jul 15, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$25.81Jul 15, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$9.68Jul 15, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$11.17Jul 15, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$22.01Jul 15, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$16.63Jul 15, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$1.83Jul 15, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?$2.68Jul 15, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win on 2026-06-18?$3.55Jul 15, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-06-21?$4.09Jul 15, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-19?$6.23Jul 15, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-22?$7.95Jul 15, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$15.15Jul 15, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$15.96Jul 15, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$21.74Jul 15, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$21.03Jun 18, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$2.33Jun 18, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-16?$2.94Jun 18, 14:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $6.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 11:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 12:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.