Alarming-Elevator
0xbe3ad716e4d3210c32fdbc23127a23dc11176b7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
114741 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-718.85
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
15653 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
12129 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
10861 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
3086 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$999.48Mar 27, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$999.50Mar 26, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$498.97Mar 25, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$500.00Mar 25, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$1.0KMar 25, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)$0.00Mar 24, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)$2.6KMar 21, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$382.66Mar 21, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$303.00Mar 16, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$16.00Mar 16, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$16.00Mar 16, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$1.30Mar 16, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$336.20Mar 16, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$302.00Mar 15, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$100.00Mar 15, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$499.74Mar 15, 03:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $571.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 03:43 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 21:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.