Flaky-Diploma
0xbe3b917d3897692049003173a4e0f47e30a2a651
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$49.68
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15?
19 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$18.99
$0.04
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 15?
17 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$17.06
$0.10
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 15?
13 shares @ 96.7¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$12.43
$0.22
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
150 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.20
$-4.93
- NO
Will Córdoba CF vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw?
963 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-712.39
- CLUB TIJUANA
Spread: Club Tijuana (-1.5)
758 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-98.54
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 23 above $400?
718 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-136.49
- NO
Exact Score: RC Strasbourg Alsace 3 - 1 OGC Nice?
655 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-589.88
- AD CEUTA FC
Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-1.5)
515 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-118.39
- MAVERICKS
Mavericks vs. Nuggets
488 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-83.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15?$18.96Jun 12, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 15?$16.95Jun 12, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 15?$12.21Jun 12, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close at $315-$320 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?$293.47Apr 26, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close at $315-$320 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?$261.19Apr 20, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Star Black win the GA-14 special election?$117.05Apr 9, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: FC Fredericia (-1.5)$175.89Apr 6, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Fredericia (-1.5)$147.75Apr 3, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Le Havre AC 3 - 1 AJ Auxerre?$33.07Apr 2, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Club Tijuana (-1.5)$98.54Apr 1, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?$352.11Apr 1, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: RC Strasbourg Alsace 3 - 1 OGC Nice?$589.88Mar 30, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMO/U 1.5 Rounds$518.32Mar 30, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?$316.90Mar 26, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 1.5 Rounds$82.93Mar 26, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: AD Ceuta FC (-1.5)$118.39Mar 25, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 23 above $400?$136.49Mar 24, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Córdoba CF vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw?$712.39Mar 24, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Nuggets$83.04Mar 22, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close at $640-$650 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$846.32Mar 21, 08:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $177.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 15:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 16:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.