Wallet digest

active

Activity score

30/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

200

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-15.6K

Realised

$-2.15

Win rate

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 200

YES
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
22207 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026
$0.00
$-10.2K
YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
14697 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026
$0.00
$-789.97
YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
14286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026
$0.00
$-100.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
1600 shares @ 91.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025
$0.00
$-1.5K
DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
500 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025
$0.00
$-200.00
DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
500 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025
$0.00
$-200.00
UP
XRP Up or Down - December 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
500 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025
$0.00
$-200.00
UP
XRP Up or Down - December 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
500 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025
$0.00
$-200.00
UP
XRP Up or Down - December 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
500 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025
$0.00
$-200.00
UP
XRP Up or Down - December 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
500 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025
$0.00
$-200.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$100.00Jan 17, 23:14 UTC
TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.0KJan 17, 23:14 UTC
MAKER_REBATE$0.05Jan 17, 00:09 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.79Jan 16, 17:25 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.11Jan 16, 17:25 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.10Jan 16, 17:25 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.00Jan 16, 17:25 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.30Jan 16, 16:11 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.10Jan 16, 16:11 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.40Jan 16, 16:11 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.20Jan 16, 16:11 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$1.00Jan 16, 16:10 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.73Jan 16, 15:41 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.27Jan 16, 15:41 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.00Jan 16, 15:41 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.00Jan 16, 15:21 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.96Jan 16, 15:21 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.02Jan 16, 15:21 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.00Jan 16, 15:21 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.02Jan 16, 15:21 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry8 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk53 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 49
Avg trade size: $44.49
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jan 16, 08:11 UTC
Last active: Jan 17, 23:14 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

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updated 19:03:29 UTC·src:Polymarket Data