Outlying-Billion
0xbe4466da456ef0d48627cf3c1e4611bce1eaaf27
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$-2.32
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on May 5?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $190 and $200 on October 31?
400 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,600 and $3,700 on November 10?
358 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-161.32
- YES
Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?
300 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-57.00
- YES
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
300 shares @ 72.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-218.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 25?
300 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-218.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 22?
300 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-35.54
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $190 and $200 on October 30?
250 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-112.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on March 24?
200 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $190 and $200 on October 27?
185 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on May 5?$1.14May 4, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on May 5?$0.22May 4, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on May 5?$0.51May 4, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on May 5?$2.02May 4, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on May 5?$1.12May 4, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C or below on March 27?$18.00Mar 27, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C or below on March 27?$2.25Mar 27, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C or below on March 27?$2.25Mar 27, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on March 27?$30.15Mar 27, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on March 27?$10.85Mar 27, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on March 27?$0.60Mar 27, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on March 27?$0.91Mar 27, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on March 26?$9.38Mar 26, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on March 26?$0.20Mar 26, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on March 26?$1.13Mar 26, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on March 26?$0.20Mar 26, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 26?$26.00Mar 26, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on March 26?$0.43Mar 26, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on March 26?$0.15Mar 26, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on March 26?$0.24Mar 26, 14:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 13:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 07:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".