Rundown-Napkin
0xbe562c0d20a6589862923d2fdd7ab7b9decf1b46
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June meeting?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
67 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Lithuania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
36 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce no change at the June meeting?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-16?
8 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June meeting?$1.00May 23, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the June meeting?$1.00May 23, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-05-16?$1.50May 16, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lithuania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?$2.00May 16, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?$4.00May 16, 18:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $1.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 18:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 21:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".