Mammoth-Lever
0xbe60cf62f6d3f78ce67d248a5a775ef57fc6c2f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$79.72
Total PnL
$-69.59
Realised
$-21.81
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?
17 shares @ 35.4¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$9.36
$3.22
- NO
Will CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) beat quarterly earnings?
25 shares @ 50.3¢·now 36.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$9.03
$-3.59
- YES
Will CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) beat quarterly earnings?
14 shares @ 57.2¢·now 64.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$8.76
$0.93
- NO
Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?
13 shares @ 25.8¢·now 53.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$7.15
$3.70
- YES
Will Warsh say "Tax" during July Press Conference?
19 shares @ 18.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$5.37
$1.92
- NO
Will Virtu Financial (VIRT) beat quarterly earnings?
15 shares @ 8.7¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$3.78
$2.48
- YES
Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
9 shares @ 38.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$3.55
$0.00
- NO
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
9 shares @ 43.3¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2027$2.84
$-1.26
- NO
Will TKO Group (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$2.64
$-0.07
- NO
Will Trump say "Security" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
6 shares @ 52.4¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$2.15
$-1.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLa Velada del Año 6: Lit Killah vs Kidd Keo$1.10Jul 25, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?$0.00Jul 25, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.70Jul 25, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.96Jul 25, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?$6.56Jul 25, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?$6.46Jul 25, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?$5.46Jul 25, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?$0.20Jul 25, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?$0.30Jul 25, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?$0.53Jul 25, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Transgender" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$0.00Jul 25, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Security" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.65Jul 25, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Security" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.60Jul 25, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?$4.04Jul 25, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Tax" during July Press Conference?$1.77Jul 25, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Tax" during July Press Conference?$1.82Jul 25, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 27?$3.88Jul 25, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 1?$1.12Jul 25, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 27?$1.10Jul 24, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 27?$1.71Jul 24, 23:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 14:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 22:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.