0xbe60f29ce8edb61d4ad09dc2dd7de510a962512c
0xbe60f29ce8edb61d4ad09dc2dd7de510a962512c
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$2.60
Total PnL
$-503.56
Realised
$-226.98
Win rate
0%
59 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?
13 shares @ 23.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$2.60
$-0.39
- PISTONS
Pistons vs. Thunder
118 shares @ 31.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-37.63
- CANUCKS
Canucks vs. Golden Knights
54 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.01
- YES
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
54 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- BALTIMORE ORIOLES
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians
48 shares @ 28.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-13.37
- FLAMES
Flames vs. Avalanche
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.11
- MIAMI MARLINS
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins
38 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-11.01
- YES
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?
33 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.97
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
28 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-8.25
- KANSAS CITY ROYALS
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees
27 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-8.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?$3.11Aug 17, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clube do Remo win on 2026-08-17?$3.13Aug 17, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox$3.07Aug 6, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs$8.40Aug 5, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox$3.05Aug 5, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?$3.13Aug 5, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs$3.04Aug 4, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox$3.05Aug 4, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. New York Mets$3.08Jul 29, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?$13.50Jul 27, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-26?$15.00Jul 27, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies$3.04Jul 26, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox$3.06Jul 25, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coritiba FBC win on 2026-07-26?$3.13Jul 24, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-26?$3.12Jul 24, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-07-25?$3.10Jul 24, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers$2.88Jul 24, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?$3.09Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMPittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees$8.40Jul 23, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers$5.00Jul 23, 15:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 59 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
59 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $3.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 07:54 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 05:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 59 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.