Flawed-Singular
0xbe62f8709e659bee4cb548f6326c5ee60df7a45a
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-716.53
Realised
$-73.45
Win rate
2%
186 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
1115 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
238 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
238 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.24
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
223 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
188 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
179 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
167 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
167 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
167 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$1.07Aug 13, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$1.07Aug 13, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$3.03Aug 13, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$2.98Aug 13, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$5.00Aug 13, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$5.00Aug 13, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$2.93Aug 13, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$2.99Aug 13, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$4.86Aug 13, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$3.00Aug 13, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$2.98Aug 13, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$3.03Aug 13, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$5.00Aug 13, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$4.91Aug 13, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$5.10Aug 13, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$4.88Aug 13, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$1.12Aug 13, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$3.55Aug 13, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$1.31Aug 13, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$0.09Aug 13, 03:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 186 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
186 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 02:53 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 06:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 186 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.