0xbe6ba69fcc3f1c366475c9e8bffd8cc710a2f255
0xbe6ba69fcc3f1c366475c9e8bffd8cc710a2f255
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
91
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-125.01
Realised
$492.00
Win rate
81%
52 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- YES
Will Dave Caneles be the next coach fired?
1558 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2025$0.00
$-20.20
- $WIF
$PEPE vs. $WIF - First to $10B?
1269 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-62.25
- NO
Will the Teamsters not endorse a major candidate?
1182 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-31.38
- YES
Will the US add 100-150k jobs in October?
1008 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-20.16
- YES
Caroline Ellison sentenced to 12-23 months in prison?
1001 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2024$0.00
$-10.02
- YES
Will the Teamsters endorse a Democrat?
527 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-30.01
- YES
Sony doesn't release Playstation 5 Pro in 2024?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Valérie Rabault next Prime Minister of France?
476 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Another New Popular Front member next Prime Minister of France?
442 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-11.50
- YES
Will BILLY be the first Pump.fun coin to $1b?
258 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.73
Recent activity
- REDEEMOpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?$26.27Mar 18, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pump.fun launch a token in 2024?$0.26Mar 18, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Berachain launch a token in November?$0.20Mar 18, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Berachain launch a token in December?$0.30Mar 18, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMTaylor Swift pregnant in 2024?$0.31Mar 18, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Falcons win the NFC South?$0.30Mar 18, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Robert Wilkie for Secretary of Veterans Affairs?$0.30Mar 18, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kyren Williams be the top Fantasy Running Back?$0.30Mar 18, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMSomeone else next Prime Minister of France?$0.30Mar 18, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMTrump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal?$0.37Mar 18, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Tiffany Justice for Education Secretary?$0.39Mar 18, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill another player be the top Fantasy Quarterback?$1.70Mar 18, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMSeptember temperature increase by between 1.35-1.40°C?$1.90Mar 18, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the October 2024 temperature increase be between 1.29-1.34°C?$2.45Mar 18, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$2.55Mar 18, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Álvaro Delgado win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?$2.55Mar 18, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMCA-22 election: Salas (D) vs. Valadao (R)$3.71Mar 18, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the debate have 75 million or more viewers?$3.80Mar 18, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMTrump eligible to vote in the election?$4.13Mar 18, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?$4.70Mar 18, 09:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
78/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
81% win rate over 52 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
52 closed markets, 81% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 08:54 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 10:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 52 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.