Angelic-Craw
0xbe74297ff19030f104ce1d538709f43b30eca70e
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$27.2K
Total PnL
$-244.95
Realised
$127.67
Win rate
58%
60 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
15000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 79.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.0K
$4.5K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
15000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.0K
$-4.5K
- YES
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?
2655 shares @ 42.3¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$2.6K
$1.5K
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.1K
$450.60
- O 2.5
Will Gentle Mates Win More than 2.5 Matches in VCT 2026 EMEA Stage 2
522 shares @ 12.2¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$315.80
$251.97
- NO
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference?
351 shares @ 89.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$303.53
$-9.77
- NO
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?
332 shares @ 77.1¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$273.74
$18.05
- YES
Will Rashida Tlaib be the MI-12 Democratic nominee?
262 shares @ 91.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$255.45
$17.14
- NO
Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?
350 shares @ 77.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$243.21
$-26.39
- NO
Will Warsh say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?
246 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$230.17
$1.23
Recent activity
- SPLITWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$600.00Jul 28, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?$1.22Jul 28, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" during cabinet meeting?$51.60Jul 28, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew McMeekin win the 2026 PLL Face-Off Player of the Year?$0.01Jul 28, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Stathakis win the 2026 PLL Face-Off Player of the Year?$0.01Jul 28, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Fake News" during Fox & Friends appearance?$0.00Jul 28, 15:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Boeing" during Fox & Friends appearance?$0.25Jul 28, 15:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Gay" during Fox & Friends appearance?$0.41Jul 28, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?$1.22Jul 28, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Stock Market" during Fox & Friends appearance?$115.00Jul 28, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during Fox & Friends appearance?$10.00Jul 28, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Transgender" during Fox & Friends appearance?$1.00Jul 28, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Democrat" during Fox & Friends appearance?$242.65Jul 28, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?$1.22Jul 28, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?$1.22Jul 28, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?$1.22Jul 28, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?$1.22Jul 28, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Filibuster" during cabinet meeting?$23.25Jul 28, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Coal" during cabinet meeting?$19.60Jul 28, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$54.88Jul 28, 14:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
74/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
58% win rate over 60 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
60 closed markets, 58% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $20.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 13:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 16:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 60 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.