Vigorous-Paintwork
0xbe74a080d32577db0eac47c5d9bbcff54b4254a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$233.85
Total PnL
$-521.41
Realised
$-632.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Newcastle win on 2024-10-19?
220 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2024$220.19
$107.89
- NO
Will Nate Silver correctly call the Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$2.44
$1.44
- PEREZ
WA-03 election: Glusenkamp Perez (D) vs. Kent (R)
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$2.17
$1.17
- SOL
Will ETH or SOL reach all-time high first?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.85
$0.85
- NO
Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.72
$0.72
- YES
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.69
$0.69
- NO
Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$1.64
$0.64
- BODEN
Trump vs. Boden: First to 1B
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.14
$0.14
- NO
Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?
1 shares @ 45.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2024$1.00
$0.54
- YES
Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle win on 2024-10-19?$112.30Oct 15, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pablo Marçal win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?$1.39Oct 15, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?$2.4KSep 14, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 538 correctly call the Presidential Election?$1.00Sep 11, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?$1.00Sep 11, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUY2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$1.00Sep 11, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ETH or SOL reach all-time high first?$1.00Sep 11, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?$1.00Sep 11, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?$3.0KSep 11, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?$1.00Sep 11, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nate Silver correctly call the Presidential Election?$1.00Sep 11, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?$1.00Sep 11, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump vs. Boden: First to 1B$1.00Sep 11, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWA-03 election: Glusenkamp Perez (D) vs. Kent (R)$1.00Sep 11, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pablo Marçal win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?$1.00Sep 11, 10:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $396.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 11, 10:13 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 15, 10:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".