Decent-Poncho
0xbe78735039230635d5debcdc11400619d7e2c533
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$-1.2K
Win rate
22%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?
1571 shares @ 67.8¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.4K
$370.94
- YES
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?
297 shares @ 39.9¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$226.94
$108.64
- YES
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?
83 shares @ 2.8¢·now 33.6¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$27.89
$25.56
- YES
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?
878 shares @ 12.9¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$17.57
$-96.07
- YES
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17m?
76 shares @ 11.9¢·now 13.2¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$10.08
$0.95
- YES
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?
3270 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?
2823 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-133.42
- YES
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?
1659 shares @ 62.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9.5m?
1522 shares @ 30.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-459.80
- YES
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?
1509 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-11.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$3.90Jun 13, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17m?$5.17Jun 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$17.03Jun 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$3.90Jun 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$2.35Jun 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$5.53Jun 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$80.93Jun 13, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?$0.27Jun 13, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?$47.37Jun 13, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?$93.70Jun 13, 04:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?$17.91Jun 13, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?$87.00Jun 13, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?$19.04Jun 13, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?$15.19Jun 13, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?$61.80Jun 13, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?$23.53Jun 13, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?$864.88Jun 13, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?$2.40Jun 13, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?$25.76Jun 13, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?$26.10Jun 13, 03:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $62.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 02:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.