0xbe7cc904a87d1be4f5909dbd3fba731cc1a1dcf1
0xbe7cc904a87d1be4f5909dbd3fba731cc1a1dcf1
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.61
Total PnL
$-4.21
Realised
$4.73
Win rate
10%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$1.61
$0.61
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
4 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.55
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - August 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - August 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.07Aug 20, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.06Aug 20, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.07Aug 20, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.05Aug 20, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?$1.08Aug 20, 04:20 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$1.03Aug 20, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$1.06Aug 20, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$1.06Aug 20, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$1.08Aug 20, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$1.06Aug 20, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$1.04Aug 20, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$1.06Aug 20, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$0.91Aug 20, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$1.09Aug 20, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$1.00Aug 20, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$0.90Aug 20, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$1.05Aug 20, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$1.05Aug 20, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$1.05Aug 20, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.11Aug 20, 03:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 20, 03:09 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 13:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.