Crafty-Mechanism
0xbe8c4fa9bf8309ef17bc8bc8178baee0341fe526
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
90
Open notional
$191.16
Total PnL
$-439.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 3?
40 shares @ 32.7¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$18.66
$5.67
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on June 2?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$14.66
$9.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 2?
15 shares @ 33.2¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$13.18
$8.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 3?
25 shares @ 40.6¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$10.23
$0.23
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 2?
32 shares @ 31.2¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$9.88
$-0.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 2?
80 shares @ 13.1¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$8.77
$-1.65
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on June 3?
27 shares @ 34.7¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$7.83
$-1.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 4?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$5.97
$0.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 3?
85 shares @ 11.9¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$5.52
$-4.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 4?
15 shares @ 32.5¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$5.39
$0.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 3?$5.00Jun 2, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 4?$2.25Jun 2, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 4?$2.75Jun 2, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 3?$1.28Jun 2, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 3?$1.22Jun 2, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 4?$5.18Jun 2, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 3?$5.12Jun 2, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 3?$3.84Jun 2, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 4?$5.11Jun 2, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 4?$5.17Jun 2, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 4?$5.15Jun 2, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 4?$5.16Jun 2, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 4?$5.20Jun 2, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 3?$5.17Jun 2, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 4?$5.17Jun 2, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4?$5.13Jun 2, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 4?$5.15Jun 2, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 3?$5.15Jun 2, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be 92°F or higher on June 1?$4.00Jun 2, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 1?$45.97Jun 2, 10:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $5.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 11:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 18:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".