0xbe94ce037ae85acb9d7846730a20a25f2b5fda00
0xbe94ce037ae85acb9d7846730a20a25f2b5fda00
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
14306 shares @ 5.4¢·now 9.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.3K
$553.23
- YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
30000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$195.00
$-12.69
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 11.1¢·now 12.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$126.50
$15.50
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
900 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$22.86
$6.66
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
900 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.75
$-13.95
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
900 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.95
$-0.45
- NO
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
150000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
25300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-34.89
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-92.90
- YES
US recession in 2025?
9000 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.7K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.15Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.00Jul 19, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.08Jul 19, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.32Jul 19, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.14Jul 19, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.14Jul 19, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.01Jul 19, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.38Jul 19, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.20Jul 19, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.20Jul 19, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.01Jul 19, 03:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $0.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 17:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.