Mature-Nonsense
0xbe9c1815e0409b840cb875c8238a982873362057
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kamala Harris be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
145 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Kentucky Presidential Election?
142 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: Other
140 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win California Presidential Election?
135 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Colorado Presidential Election?
60 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Delaware Presidential Election?
59 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
58 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?
58 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
46 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?
38 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?$0.11Jan 12, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Kentucky Presidential Election?$0.14Nov 1, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win California Presidential Election?$0.14Oct 18, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: Other$0.14Oct 13, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.12Oct 3, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.14Sep 30, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Delaware Presidential Election?$0.12Sep 26, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.01Sep 25, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.04Sep 25, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.05Sep 25, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.03Sep 25, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.01Sep 25, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?$0.12Sep 17, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Colorado Presidential Election?$0.12Sep 10, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$79.92Sep 9, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$80.00Sep 9, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Democrat win Massachusetts Presidential Election?$87.91Sep 9, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Massachusetts Presidential Election?$88.00Sep 9, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Texas Presidential Election?$78.48Sep 9, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Texas Presidential Election?$78.56Sep 9, 18:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $41.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 9, 15:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 05:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".