Smooth-Website
0xbea5135e71e53008e732d1426c2b2d2925f6ec4d
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-198.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 14 ET?
1094 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?
647 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
628 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
455 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
385 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?
344 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Bezos divorce in 2025?
307 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?
287 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
273 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?$17.00Sep 15, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBezos divorce in 2025?$10.00Sep 15, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?$10.00Sep 15, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$10.00Sep 15, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMusk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?$10.00Sep 15, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?$30.00Sep 15, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$10.00Sep 15, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on September 30?$10.00Sep 15, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?$31.00Sep 15, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?$10.00Sep 15, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Yemen on September 14 ET?$10.00Sep 15, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$10.00Sep 15, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$10.00Sep 15, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$10.00Sep 15, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$10.00Sep 15, 01:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $13.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 15, 01:01 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 15, 01:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".