Respectful-Powder-Emery
0xbea567c3ca1270673443cf6e72ccadd352662cf0
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-494.38
Win rate
14%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 15?
4553 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-49.38
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11?
1032 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 12?
233 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-98.91
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 12?
200 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-100.96
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11?
165 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-100.81
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 11?
157 shares @ 63.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 11?
129 shares @ 74.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-96.53
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 2?
103 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-75.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 16?
81 shares @ 61.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-49.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 10?
41 shares @ 62.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-25.19
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$9.22Jul 9, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 6?$93.74Jul 6, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 6?$52.11Jul 6, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 5?$83.16Jul 6, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 6?$65.72Jul 6, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 6?$75.74Jul 6, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 5?$30.18Jul 5, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 5?$69.36Jul 5, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 5?$19.79Jul 5, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 5?$42.22Jul 5, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 5?$51.07Jul 5, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 5?$25.43Jul 5, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 5?$25.20Jul 4, 00:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 2?$90.89Jul 3, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 2?$76.08Jul 2, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 2?$76.52Jul 2, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 1?$51.75Jul 1, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 1?$76.25Jul 1, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 29?$93.15Jun 30, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 29?$86.10Jun 29, 16:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
48/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
14% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $54.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 06:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.