0xbea5d6c3bbd1a4e4ffdd40ca865dbdc02508c5bf
0xbea5d6c3bbd1a4e4ffdd40ca865dbdc02508c5bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$10.95
Total PnL
$-10.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
4 shares @ 46.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$2.24
$0.24
- YES
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 62.1¢·now 62.6¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 6.1¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.31
$-1.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.00Jun 22, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.00Jun 22, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.09Jun 22, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.37Jun 22, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.10Jun 22, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on June 22?$1.47Jun 22, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.00Jun 22, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.37Jun 22, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.06Jun 22, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$4.12Jun 22, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.00Jun 22, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$0.94Jun 22, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.06Jun 22, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.00Jun 22, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$1.04Jun 22, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05Jun 22, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$1.05Jun 22, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9PM ET$0.91Jun 21, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 22?$1.08Jun 21, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9PM ET$1.07Jun 21, 21:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 10:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 08:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.