Muddy-Understatement
0xbea789c78be90003a1ce9a923b38a2770abdfdef
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$350.73
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
16871 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
7048 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-211.44
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify David Kleiman as Satoshi?
5838 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-239.26
- NO
Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?
3060 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Milton make landfall as a category 4?
1291 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- WALZ
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
43 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2024$0.00
$-14.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$500.00Nov 6, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$608.70Oct 27, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Milton make landfall as a category 2 or lower?$180.43Oct 10, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Milton make landfall as a category 2 or lower?$202.95Oct 9, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Milton make landfall as a category 2 or lower?$17.05Oct 9, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Milton make landfall as a category 4?$200.00Oct 9, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Milton make landfall as a category 2 or lower?$200.00Oct 9, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Milton make landfall as a category 2 or lower?$75.00Oct 9, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Milton make landfall as a category 2 or lower?$1.50Oct 9, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Milton make landfall as a category 2 or lower?$3.00Oct 9, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Milton make landfall as a category 2 or lower?$15.00Oct 9, 17:14 UTC
- REWARD$0.10Oct 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the HBO documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi?$359.53Oct 8, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi?$200.00Oct 8, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?$33.94Oct 8, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?$2.39Oct 8, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?$120.77Oct 8, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?$22.90Oct 8, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the HBO documentary identify David Kleiman as Satoshi?$37.24Oct 8, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the HBO documentary identify David Kleiman as Satoshi?$0.30Oct 8, 19:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $102.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 8, 13:16 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 05:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.