Rewarding-Airfield
0xbead48dbeca1677f74d263cf198a801c678b4bec
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
98
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-117.51
Realised
$-3.13
Win rate
9%
97 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 98- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?
501 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 16?
165 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
17 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2PM ET
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 9?
10 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Aug 17, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$1.14Aug 17, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$1.12Aug 17, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$1.09Aug 17, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$1.01Aug 17, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.97Aug 17, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$1.01Aug 17, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$1.00Aug 17, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$1.01Aug 17, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$1.02Aug 17, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$1.01Aug 17, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Aug 16, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.33Aug 16, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.02Aug 16, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$0.00Aug 16, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$0.01Aug 14, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$0.00Aug 14, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.03Aug 14, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$0.84Aug 14, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.03Aug 14, 08:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
9% win rate over 97 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
97 closed markets, 9% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 9, 12:16 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 08:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 97 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.