Unsteady-Fallacy
0xbeafdb4a3fbcc95a980e55a0a56c122b1bb88981
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$211.71
Total PnL
$-190.63
Realised
$26.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$67.50
$17.50
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 6.1¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$53.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$43.75
$-11.25
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$41.25
$-8.75
- YES
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
42 shares @ 11.0¢·now 13.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.51
$0.87
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%?
400 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.20
$-15.80
- YES
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?
1400 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-95.20
- YES
Will Christopher Haworth win the 2026 PPA: Indoor National Championships (Men's Singles) tournament?
600 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 22, 2026?
600 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 21, 2026?
502 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.04
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".