Same-Thorn
0xbebb2e2772aee58e196c43443b1048935e4b28b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$5.03
Total PnL
$-186.39
Realised
$-0.86
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 29, 2026$1.00
$-0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
1 shares @ 72.1¢·now 70.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.99
$-0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.99
$-0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
2 shares @ 66.9¢·now 64.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.97
$-0.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.07
$-0.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on March 23?
4570 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-12.93
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
1020 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?
102 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$1.01May 23, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$0.97May 23, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$1.01May 23, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$1.01May 23, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$1.01May 23, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$0.79May 23, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$1.02May 23, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$0.84May 23, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$1.01May 23, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$0.99May 23, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$0.99May 23, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$1.01May 23, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$1.01May 23, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$1.01May 23, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$1.03May 23, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$1.01May 23, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$1.01May 23, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$0.19May 23, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$0.81May 23, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$0.98May 23, 17:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 12:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 20:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".