Adventurous-Knife
0xbec096b92051727576b6c547d264af230c2fb953
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
198
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-18.0K
Realised
$-1.1K
Win rate
29%
62 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 198- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
1710 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-436.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
1272 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-295.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
910 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-673.35
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
810 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-599.32
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
806 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-180.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
783 shares @ 54.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-429.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
649 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-480.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
645 shares @ 63.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-412.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
642 shares @ 70.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-453.46
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
568 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-443.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$4.39Jul 27, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$5.00Jul 27, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$4.29Jul 27, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$5.00Jul 27, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$4.34Jul 27, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$5.00Jul 27, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$4.39Jul 27, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$5.00Jul 27, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$4.30Jul 27, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$4.48Jul 27, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$3.32Jul 27, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$4.29Jul 27, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$3.70Jul 27, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$4.45Jul 27, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$5.00Jul 27, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$4.39Jul 27, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$4.55Jul 27, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$5.28Jul 27, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$5.00Jul 27, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$0.49Jul 27, 01:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 62 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
62 closed markets, 29% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $4.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 19:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 05:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 62 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.