Somber-Glider
0xbec6d9bc067865153cb8c3a63fb5cf96e0e126b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
75
Open notional
$279.67
Total PnL
$-170.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
150 shares @ 33.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$149.71
$99.71
- NO
Will FDP be part of the next German government?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$12.05
$2.05
- NO
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$11.24
$1.24
- NO
Will BSW be part of the next German government?
10 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$10.48
$0.48
- NO
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
8 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$7.81
$2.81
- YES
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?
8 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$7.81
$2.81
- NO
Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.25
$2.25
- NO
Solana above $200 on February 21?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2025$7.25
$2.25
- NO
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$6.94
$1.94
- NO
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?
6 shares @ 82.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.06
$1.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$28.32Feb 16, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Armstrong say Trump 5+ times during his X space?$5.00Feb 16, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Armstrong say Base during his X space?$5.00Feb 16, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeorgescu banned from Romania election?$5.00Feb 16, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $200 on February 21?$5.00Feb 16, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$5.00Feb 16, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $5.00Feb 16, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $5.00Feb 16, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BSW be part of the next German government?$10.00Feb 16, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FDP be part of the next German government?$10.00Feb 16, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Elon say "China" 10 or more times during their Feb 18 interview?$3.00Feb 16, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Elon say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during their Feb 18 interview?$1.00Feb 16, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Elon say "Paper Straw" during their Feb 18 interview?$1.00Feb 16, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Elon say "COVID" during their Feb 18 interview?$1.00Feb 16, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Elon say "October 7" during their Feb 18 interview?$1.00Feb 16, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Elon say "FEMA" during their Feb 18 interview?$1.00Feb 16, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Elon say "Saudi Arabia" during their Feb 18 interview?$1.00Feb 16, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Elon say "TikTok" during their Feb 18 interview?$1.00Feb 16, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Elon say "NATO" during their Feb 18 interview?$1.00Feb 16, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Elon say "Billion" 10 or more times during their Feb 18 interview?$1.00Feb 16, 17:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 23:34 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 17:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".