Gleaming-Heavy
0xbec7a683cb46ac0e04e9a26d703f893d4d036cfd
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$15.2K
Total PnL
$-9.6K
Realised
$356.05
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
14332 shares @ 58.9¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.5K
$92.72
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
8279 shares @ 41.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.9K
$538.14
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
8298 shares @ 30.0¢·now 20.9¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.7K
$-750.95
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
1251 shares @ 80.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$31.29
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
55410 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.6K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
6027 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
5322 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-210.02
- NO
Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?
4000 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-124.00
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?
3698 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-415.37
- NO
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
2466 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-156.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$6.6KMay 28, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.0KMay 28, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$8.4KMay 28, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.5KMay 28, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1.4KMay 28, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.4KMay 28, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by March 31?$22.6KApr 30, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$21.6KMar 16, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?$17.23Jan 16, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$130.45Jan 16, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?$436.67Jan 16, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.4KJan 16, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown in 2025?$1.6KJan 16, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$2.1KJan 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: September$466.15Sep 10, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Department of Defense by September 30?$115.94Sep 5, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Department of Defense by September 30?$4.34Sep 5, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Department of Defense by September 30?$3.72Sep 5, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: September$644.02Aug 31, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$358.68Aug 30, 15:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$6.6K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 28, 22:10 UTC → May 28, 22:00 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$6.6K@12¢May 28, 22:00 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$6.6K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
$6.6K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 01:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 22:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.