Minor-Surge
0xbed0b731b8c297c6e3128b82ba08df6a585077c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$195.34
Total PnL
$-274.76
Realised
$3.74
Win rate
50%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
46 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$46.00
$1.01
- NO
Avail airdrop in Q1 2025?
46 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$46.00
$9.20
- NO
Will Franz Wagner win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?
46 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$46.00
$0.55
- NO
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
41 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$40.92
$15.14
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released by March 31?
4 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$4.47
$1.03
- NO
Google forced to sell Chrome?
4 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$3.71
$0.52
- NO
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?
4 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$3.68
$1.03
- NO
Will Victor Wembanyama win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$2.91
$2.03
- NO
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?
2 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.65
$0.09
- YES
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?
114 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-67.27
Recent activity
- REDEEMPrice of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?$0.00Mar 15, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Vikings resign Sam Darnold?$0.00Mar 15, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the SPD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$0.00Mar 15, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMLily Phillips has sex with between 750-999 men in a day?$0.00Mar 15, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMLily Phillips has sex with between 500-749 men in a day?$0.00Mar 15, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31?$0.00Mar 15, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?$114.00Mar 15, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$20.59Mar 11, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$15.81Mar 11, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$5.00Mar 11, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$3.63Mar 10, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?$0.00Feb 26, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jared Verse win NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?$0.00Feb 16, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill TJ Watt win NFL Defensive Player of the Year?$0.00Feb 16, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Record of the Year?$0.00Feb 16, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'The Tortured Poets Department' win Album of the Year?$0.00Feb 16, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Martin be the next DNC chair?$39.00Feb 16, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Few make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?$3.30Feb 14, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Few make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?$3.60Feb 14, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMEight Trump Cabinet confirmations in January? $0.00Feb 2, 15:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $10.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 14:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".