Improbable-Metaphor-Poker
0xbed10da188d5b8ac69089c766174c9a0b4b2adf1
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$88.47
Total PnL
$-10.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1?
70 shares @ 66.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$70.11
$23.35
- MICHIGAN WOLVERINES
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines
18 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$18.36
$8.63
- ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
76 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-42.69
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 1?$153.34Apr 1, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on April 1?$9.24Apr 1, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on April 1?$25.00Apr 1, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 1?$0.89Apr 1, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 1?$1.63Apr 1, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 1?$2.25Apr 1, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 1?$0.62Apr 1, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 1?$0.75Apr 1, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 1?$0.85Apr 1, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 1?$1.17Apr 1, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 1?$1.83Apr 1, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on April 1?$4.00Apr 1, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on April 1?$41.00Apr 1, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 1?$23.37Apr 1, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1?$14.27Apr 1, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1?$33.29Apr 1, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 1?$3.55Apr 1, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 1?$22.54Apr 1, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 1?$1.14Apr 1, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 1?$82.96Apr 1, 03:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $11.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 00:21 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 22:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".