Rich-Weasel
0xbed5c92f9c7fb56b10ba6f0ebf824a616faa81c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.9K
Realised
$-3.6K
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 31?
4350 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 1?
2000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 22?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 30?
1750 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-752.08
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 8?
1500 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 5?
1000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 11?
900 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-414.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 3?
700 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$4.20Apr 29, 05:19 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$12.92Apr 10, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?$793.64Apr 9, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?$2.28Apr 9, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?$0.70Apr 9, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?$0.95Apr 9, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?$2.77Apr 9, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?$100.00Apr 9, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?$200.00Apr 9, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?$33.50Apr 9, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?$0.28Apr 9, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?$1.15Apr 9, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?$0.28Apr 9, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?$1.56Apr 9, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?$1.25Apr 9, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?$2.50Apr 9, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?$0.25Apr 9, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?$4.00Apr 9, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?$120.20Apr 9, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?$0.25Apr 9, 12:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $47.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 12:23 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 05:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.