Itchy-Piano
0xbed861c6d5ebabc7166264b7c8baa359913afd44
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$849.22
Total PnL
$-330.50
Realised
$-17.76
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- TYLOO
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Kaleido Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Finals Playoffs
281 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$280.56
$0.56
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
334 shares @ 88.3¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$252.35
$-42.65
- NO
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
123 shares @ 81.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$94.44
$-5.56
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
97 shares @ 97.1¢·now 97.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$94.15
$0.15
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
76 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$69.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
203 shares @ 45.6¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.40
$-65.18
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
79 shares @ 38.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.08
$-5.92
- YES
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
25 shares @ 77.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.93
$-13.10
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.70
$-0.30
- DOWN
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?
136 shares @ 92.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-126.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: TYLOO vs Kaleido Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Finals Playoffs$280.02May 26, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$280.97May 26, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$1.00May 18, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$94.00May 18, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision (BO5) - Asian Champions League Playoffs$20.41May 18, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 4.5$25.86May 18, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$49.35May 18, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$37.29May 17, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$37.31May 17, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 4.5$18.01May 17, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision (BO5) - Asian Champions League Playoffs$10.15May 17, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$200.00May 17, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B$6.17May 17, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$28.57May 17, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$70.59May 17, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$94.08May 17, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Japan military clash before 2027?$70.00May 16, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$200.00May 16, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$200.00May 16, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$17.78May 16, 15:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $90.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 09:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 14:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".