Faraway-Gene
0xbed9183f7185d14f3a1bb9071325b3392cbe2443
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$25.72
Total PnL
$-105.94
Realised
$-3.85
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on August 20?
40 shares @ 50.4¢·now 58.3¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$23.13
$3.13
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on August 20?
73 shares @ 9.6¢·now 3.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$2.55
$-4.45
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 20?
80 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.04
$-4.51
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on August 18?
981 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 18?
384 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.07
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
152 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-21.28
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 13?
138 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.54
- YES
Bitcoin above 63,600 on August 13, 5PM ET?
107 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Bitcoin above 63,800 on August 13, 7PM ET?
103 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on August 20?$7.44Aug 20, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $73,000 on August 20?$20.69Aug 20, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 on August 19?$38.46Aug 19, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 20?$4.85Aug 19, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 on August 19?$4.25Aug 19, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on August 18?$3.15Aug 18, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 18?$3.28Aug 18, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 on August 18?$3.32Aug 18, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$14.14Aug 17, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 17?$2.14Aug 17, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 17?$16.30Aug 17, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 17?$3.31Aug 16, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $64,000 on August 14?$1.70Aug 14, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on August 14?$2.10Aug 14, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 14?$10.49Aug 14, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above 63,800 on August 13, 7PM ET?$10.63Aug 13, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above 63,600 on August 13, 7PM ET?$10.26Aug 13, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above 63,600 on August 13, 5PM ET?$7.46Aug 13, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1PM ET$28.58Aug 13, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 13?$10.16Aug 13, 17:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $8.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 21:21 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 11:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.