Pricey-Paste
0xbed9dfbcceed97d15f27b2825a5cb26ffac2225f
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-168.85
Win rate
0%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
France vs. Sweden: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Norway?
682 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 England?
612 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Trump's remarks not air?
522 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Morocco?
500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?
500 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Norway?
429 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Algeria?
333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Algeria?
333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
259 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 9, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score$100.02Jul 6, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5 AND Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total Corners AND Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5$629.99Jul 6, 12:43 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Norway: O/U 0.5 AND Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$629.88Jul 5, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw? AND Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?$100.00Jul 5, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: O/U 0.5 AND Mexico vs. England: Draw at halftime?$102.99Jul 5, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$28.38Jul 5, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$25.63Jul 5, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: O/U 12.5 Total Corners AND Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$300.00Jul 5, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: O/U 3.5 AND Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 0.5$150.00Jul 5, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England? AND Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?$64.99Jul 5, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Norway?$30.86Jul 5, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Norway?$30.84Jul 5, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?$30.78Jul 5, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$30.62Jul 5, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 England?$30.86Jul 5, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?$30.76Jul 5, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: England (-2.5) AND Mexico vs. England: England O/U 3.5 Corners$199.99Jul 5, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First Half AND Mexico vs. England: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$200.00Jul 5, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$100.00Jul 5, 17:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 35 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
35 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $124.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 13:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.