Kosher-Thermostat
0xbedd651245099b25a72b03a01d91cf389a0568b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- $1,000
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?
785 shares @ 55.1¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$396.45
$-36.55
- NO
Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 52.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$392.50
$132.50
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
2281 shares @ 27.8¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$285.10
$-347.90
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
474 shares @ 70.2¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$206.27
$-126.73
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
250 shares @ 12.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$46.25
$16.25
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
357 shares @ 28.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.64
$-55.36
- YES
Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?
302 shares @ 16.6¢·now 12.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$38.64
$-11.36
- YES
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?
359 shares @ 27.8¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$28.73
$-71.27
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
214 shares @ 14.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.05
$-13.95
- YES
Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?
42 shares @ 47.5¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.36
$-12.64
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$100.00Jul 12, 04:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $51.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.