Smug-Dragonfruit
0xbedf5b9a720122cefcc254575986eb9d4e48b69a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$132.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
17187 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-659.41
- NO
ETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?
2267 shares @ 42.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-956.06
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1600 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-157.36
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?$4.92Jan 22, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?$20.20Jan 22, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?$85.55Jan 22, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?$180.90Jan 22, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?$94.82Jan 22, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?$11.11Jan 22, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?$171.30Jan 22, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?$16.22Jan 22, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?$14.94Jan 22, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?$37.93Jan 22, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?$137.92Jan 22, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?$569.68Jan 22, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLETHGAS FDV above $300M one day after launch?$567.58Jan 22, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?$21.36Jan 22, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?$33.15Jan 22, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?$16.67Jan 22, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLETHGAS FDV above $300M one day after launch?$67.20Jan 22, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYETHGAS FDV above $300M one day after launch?$94.86Jan 22, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYETHGAS FDV above $300M one day after launch?$452.95Jan 22, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYETHGAS FDV above $300M one day after launch?$38.48Jan 22, 10:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $97.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 19:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 22, 15:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.